V-Lab
Genesis Energy Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, July 28th, 2026
1 Day
6,238.97
increased by 952.60
1 Week
5,622.79
increased by 336.42
1 Month
6,553.61
increased by 1,267.24
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 28, 2026 at 08:12 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 21, 2014 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 12 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.3767 | 14.43*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0819 | 5.97*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8600 | 34.04*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0110 | -3.92*** |
Persistence:
0.942
Half-life:
12 days
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