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V-Lab

Genesis Energy Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, July 28th, 2026

1 Day

6,238.97

increased by 952.60

1 Week

5,622.79

increased by 336.42

1 Month

6,553.61

increased by 1,267.24

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 28, 2026 at 08:12 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Genesis Energy Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 21, 2014 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 12 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.3767
14.43***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0819
5.97***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8600
34.04***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0110
-3.92***

Persistence:

0.942

Half-life:

12 days