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Genesis Energy Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, September 18th, 2026

1 Day

5,832.69

decreased by 184.67

1 Week

6,369.34

increased by 351.98

1 Month

7,421.89

increased by 1,404.53

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 18, 2026 at 08:49 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Genesis Energy Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 21, 2014 to Sep 14, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 12 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.3760
14.52***
αARCH0.0802
5.94***
βGARCH0.8623
34.66***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0111
-4.10***

0.943

Persistence

12d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.3760
14.52***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0802
5.94***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8623
34.66***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0111
-4.10***

Persistence:

0.943

Half-life:

12 days