V-Lab
Genesis Energy Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, July 28th, 2026
1 Day
6,974.57
1 Week
6,385.11
1 Month
7,371.67
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 28, 2026 at 08:12 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 21, 2014 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 18 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 18 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0808 | 3.09*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8723 | 106.09*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0185 | 0.34 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 0.61 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9993 | 160.15*** |
Persistence:
0.962
Half-life:
18 days
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