Glass House Brands Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, October 19th, 2026
1 Day
9,349.35
increased by 3,802.86
1 Week
6,363.01
increased by 816.52
1 Month
4,546.45
decreased by 1,000.04
Analysis last updated: Friday, October 16, 2026 at 11:14 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 30, 2026 to Oct 16, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 15 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
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Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 1.1904 | 3.05*** |
| αARCH | 0.2022 | 2.80*** |
| βGARCH | 0.7538 | 6.97*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 3.8788 | 0.04 |
0.956
Persistence15d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.1904 | 3.05*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2022 | 2.80*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7538 | 6.97*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 3.8788 | 0.04 |
Persistence:
0.956
Half-life:
15 days
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