Glass House Brands Inc Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, October 19th, 2026
1 Day
8,938.48
increased by 4,069.27
1 Week
5,798.76
increased by 929.55
1 Month
4,086.49
decreased by 782.72
Analysis last updated: Friday, October 16, 2026 at 11:14 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 30, 2026 to Oct 16, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.994, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 120 trading days (~0.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
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High persistence: persistence 0.994, shock half-life ~120 days
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 5.0000 | 0.01 |
| αARCH | 0.1186 | 0.84 |
| βGARCH | 0.8311 | 7.95*** |
| γleverage | 0.0890 | 0.30 |
0.994
Persistence120d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 0.01 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1186 | 0.84 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8311 | 7.95*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0890 | 0.30 |
Persistence:
0.994
Half-life:
120 days
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