Skip to main content
V-Lab

Gooch & Housego PLC Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, August 28th, 2026

1 Day

8,488.21

increased by 2,817.39

1 Week

6,476.66

increased by 805.84

1 Month

7,735.64

increased by 2,064.82

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 28, 2026 at 08:39 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Gooch & Housego PLC ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 11, 1997 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 19 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.8090
4.36***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0910
6.30***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8727
48.10***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ10.5256
4.50***
γ2-1.0210
-5.22***
γ30.9298
5.93***
γ4-0.6504
-4.42***
γ50.3576
2.55**
γ6-0.4329
-2.91***
γ70.5600
3.88***
γ8-0.3454
-3.08***
γ90.1412
1.47
γ10-0.4202
-3.37***

Persistence:

0.964

Half-life:

19 days