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Gooch & Housego PLC ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, August 28th, 2026

1 Day

12,251.49

increased by 2,454.11

1 Week

10,670.10

increased by 872.72

1 Month

13,359.13

increased by 3,561.75

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 28, 2026 at 08:39 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Gooch & Housego PLC ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 11, 1997 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.998, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 345 trading days (~1.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

71
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0827
1.06
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8644
197.85***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1018
0.68
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

10.0000
0.00
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.3061
1.17
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.6939
15.67***

Persistence:

0.998

Half-life:

345 days