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Genesco Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, November 13th, 2026

1 Day

5,392.20

increased by 529.31

1 Week

4,972.49

increased by 109.60

1 Month

3,790.63

decreased by 1,072.26

Analysis last updated: Thursday, November 12, 2026 at 10:35 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

11/12/2024

to

11/12/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Genesco Inc ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Nov 6, 2026

Model Insight

Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): illiquidity shocks do not decay and the long-run level is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 1.000 ≥ 1, shocks do not decay
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.7845
αARCH0.0836
βGARCH0.9164
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=2
γ10.0164
γ2-0.0298

1.000

Persistence

-

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.7845
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0836
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9164
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=2
γ10.0164
γ2-0.0298

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

-