Genesco Inc ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, November 13th, 2026
1 Day
5,284.11
1 Week
4,873.32
1 Month
3,720.78
Analysis last updated: Thursday, November 12, 2026 at 10:35 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Nov 6, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 17 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 17 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
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| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| mwindow | 126 | |
| αARCH | 0.0809 | 14.40*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9184 | 149.10*** |
| γleverage | -0.0809 | -2.61*** |
| λ₁tau intercept | 0.1534 | 1.06 |
| λ₂forecast adj. | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
| λ₃tau persistence | 0.9986 | 99.93*** |
0.959
Persistence17d
Half-lifeILLIQ-MFMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0809 | 14.40*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9184 | 149.10*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0809 | -2.61*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.1534 | 1.06 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9986 | 99.93*** |
Persistence:
0.959
Half-life:
17 days
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