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V-Lab

LB Foster Co Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026

1 Day

7,360.14

increased by 275.44

1 Week

6,523.19

decreased by 561.51

1 Month

5,537.85

decreased by 1,546.85

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 09:23 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of LB Foster Co ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 35 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.4544
4.39***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1356
9.59***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8448
55.55***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=7
γ1-0.0118
-0.31
γ20.0892
1.51
γ3-0.2905
-5.78***
γ40.4402
7.62***
γ5-0.2878
-6.40***
γ60.0864
2.92***
γ7-0.1199
-2.97***

Persistence:

0.980

Half-life:

35 days