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V-Lab

Fnac Darty SA Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 31st, 2026

1 Day

7,214.14

increased by 2,796.90

1 Week

4,299.91

decreased by 117.33

1 Month

6,032.13

increased by 1,614.89

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 29, 2026 at 08:44 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Fnac Darty SA ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 19, 2013 to Aug 28, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.994, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 116 trading days (~0.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.1980
9.17***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1139
11.04***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8801
78.40***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0049
-0.65

Persistence:

0.994

Half-life:

116 days