V-Lab
Fnac Darty SA ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 31st, 2026
1 Day
7,293.36
1 Week
3,956.08
1 Month
5,515.39
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 29, 2026 at 08:43 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 19, 2013 to Aug 28, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 9 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 9 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1276 | 12.79*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8591 | 78.18*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1276 | -8.31*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 6.1953 | 2.32** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9962 | 210.44*** |
Persistence:
0.923
Half-life:
9 days
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