V-Lab
Fairchem Organics Limited Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, July 31st, 2026
1 Day
8,475.66
increased by 5,555.00
1 Week
3,777.63
increased by 856.97
1 Month
3,960.48
increased by 1,039.82
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 31, 2026 at 07:06 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 25, 2020 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 11 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 3.6578 | 7.82*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2023 | 7.18*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7352 | 21.29*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 0.2318 | 8.11*** |
Persistence:
0.937
Half-life:
11 days
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