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Fairchem Organics Limited Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, July 31st, 2026

1 Day

8,724.93

increased by 5,952.93

1 Week

3,728.93

increased by 956.93

1 Month

3,564.62

increased by 792.62

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 31, 2026 at 07:06 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Fairchem Organics Limited ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 25, 2020 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): illiquidity shocks do not decay and the long-run level is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 97% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
2.13**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1090
17.74***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8383
195.05***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1054
9.23***

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

-