V-Lab
East West Banking Corp Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, September 29th, 2026
1 Day
10,779.16
increased by 8,426.20
1 Week
3,239.97
increased by 887.01
1 Month
2,463.51
increased by 110.55
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 29, 2026 at 08:12 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 9, 2012 to Sep 25, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.998, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 354 trading days (~1.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
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High persistence: persistence 0.998, shock half-life ~354 days
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.8858 | 3.55*** |
| αARCH | 0.1657 | 10.11*** |
| βGARCH | 0.8323 | 51.03*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=3
| γ1 | -0.2528 | -3.24*** |
| γ2 | 0.4675 | 3.79*** |
| γ3 | -0.4860 | -4.87*** |
0.998
Persistence354d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.8858 | 3.55*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1657 | 10.11*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8323 | 51.03*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=3
| γ1 | -0.2528 | -3.24*** |
| γ2 | 0.4675 | 3.79*** |
| γ3 | -0.4860 | -4.87*** |
Persistence:
0.998
Half-life:
354 days
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