V-Lab
East West Banking Corp ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, September 29th, 2026
1 Day
11,910.36
1 Week
3,643.44
1 Month
2,651.83
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 29, 2026 at 08:12 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 9, 2012 to Sep 25, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 5 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 5 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| mwindow | 36 | |
| αARCH | 0.1741 | 7.43*** |
| βGARCH | 0.7935 | 42.70*** |
| γleverage | -0.1741 | -4.47*** |
| λ₁tau intercept | 4.8505 | 1.63 |
| λ₂forecast adj. | 0.0683 | 7.40*** |
| λ₃tau persistence | 0.9309 | 107.49*** |
0.881
Persistence5d
Half-lifeILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 36 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1741 | 7.43*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7935 | 42.70*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1741 | -4.47*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 4.8505 | 1.63 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0683 | 7.40*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9309 | 107.49*** |
Persistence:
0.881
Half-life:
5 days
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