V-Lab
Eutelsat Communications SA Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, September 18th, 2026
1 Day
5,911.33
decreased by 233.29
1 Week
6,152.65
increased by 8.03
1 Month
5,623.90
decreased by 520.72
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 18, 2026 at 06:58 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 2, 2005 to Sep 14, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 60 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 1.2593 | 9.13*** |
| αARCH | 0.0691 | 11.72*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9194 | 126.23*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 0.0104 | 6.66*** |
0.989
Persistence60d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.2593 | 9.13*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0691 | 11.72*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9194 | 126.23*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 0.0104 | 6.66*** |
Persistence:
0.989
Half-life:
60 days
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