V-Lab
Eutelsat Communications SA Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, September 18th, 2026
1 Day
5,396.26
decreased by 190.86
1 Week
5,575.41
decreased by 11.71
1 Month
5,124.15
decreased by 462.97
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 18, 2026 at 06:58 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 2, 2005 to Sep 14, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.998, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 323 trading days (~1.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
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High persistence: persistence 0.998, shock half-life ~323 days
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 5.0000 | 2.20** |
| αARCH | 0.0538 | 6.06*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9341 | 184.56*** |
| γleverage | 0.0201 | 1.26 |
0.998
Persistence323d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 2.20** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0538 | 6.06*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9341 | 184.56*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0201 | 1.26 |
Persistence:
0.998
Half-life:
323 days
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