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V-Lab

Emirates Central Cooling Sys Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Sunday, July 26th, 2026

1 Day

4,490.01

increased by 2,224.28

1 Week

2,737.23

increased by 471.50

1 Month

2,423.35

increased by 157.62

Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 25, 2026 at 11:48 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Emirates Central Cooling Sys ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 16, 2022 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 6 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.2242
7.22***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0910
3.51***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8010
13.39***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.1258
-1.78*

Persistence:

0.892

Half-life:

6 days