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Electra Real Estate Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Sunday, August 23rd, 2026

1 Day

7,340.20

decreased by 186.44

1 Week

7,595.40

increased by 68.76

1 Month

5,157.23

decreased by 2,369.41

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 10:06 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Electra Real Estate Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 22, 2005 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 814 trading days (~3.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0918
4.22***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1333
10.39***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8659
65.54***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=3
γ10.0791
1.15
γ2-0.2876
-2.88***
γ30.4774
4.67***

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

814 days