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Electra Real Estate Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Sunday, August 23rd, 2026

1 Day

7,161.50

decreased by 134.89

1 Week

7,384.94

increased by 88.55

1 Month

4,826.41

decreased by 2,469.98

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 10:04 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Electra Real Estate Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 22, 2005 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.995, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 151 trading days (~0.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

111
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1429
0.56
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8753
247.34***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0457
-0.10
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0453
0.87
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.00
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9882
77.38***

Persistence:

0.995

Half-life:

151 days