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Everforth Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026

1 Day

1,284.23

decreased by 71.49

1 Week

1,341.57

decreased by 14.15

1 Month

1,622.09

increased by 266.37

Analysis last updated: Monday, August 24, 2026 at 09:41 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Everforth Inc ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 22, 1992 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.992, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 89 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.7801
4.97***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0920
8.39***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9002
76.14***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=6
γ1-0.1371
-3.84***
γ20.2041
3.86***
γ3-0.0960
-3.04***
γ40.0331
1.25
γ50.0131
0.45
γ6-0.0066
-0.16

Persistence:

0.992

Half-life:

89 days