Skip to main content
V-Lab

Everforth Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

2,509.83

increased by 110.29

1 Week

2,343.13

decreased by 56.41

1 Month

2,322.18

decreased by 77.36

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 10:31 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Everforth Inc ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 22, 1992 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.993, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 93 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.7428
4.99***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0920
8.42***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9005
76.50***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=6
γ1-0.1405
-3.84***
γ20.2082
3.85***
γ3-0.0968
-2.99***
γ40.0338
1.23
γ50.0105
0.34
γ60.0028
0.06

Persistence:

0.993

Half-life:

93 days