V-Lab
Everforth Inc ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
2,534.20
1 Week
2,371.39
1 Month
2,330.68
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 10:31 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 22, 1992 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 15 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 15 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 61 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0882 | 9.01*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9093 | 275.96*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0882 | -5.86*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.1079 | 7.65*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0072 | 4.95*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9916 | 1,303.00*** |
Persistence:
0.953
Half-life:
15 days
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