V-Lab
Everforth Inc ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026
1 Day
1,305.32
1 Week
1,364.85
1 Month
1,659.32
Analysis last updated: Monday, August 24, 2026 at 09:41 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 22, 1992 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 14 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 14 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 61 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0881 | 8.96*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9092 | 274.77*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0881 | -5.82*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.1075 | 7.62*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0073 | 4.95*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9915 | 1,297.81*** |
Persistence:
0.953
Half-life:
14 days
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