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Dusit Thani PCL Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Liquidity prediction for Monday, July 20th, 2026

1 Day

4,846.81

increased by 489.37

1 Week

5,056.71

increased by 699.27

1 Month

5,248.70

increased by 891.26

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 19, 2026 at 04:12 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Dusit Thani PCL ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's liquidity

Liquidity Forecast

How liquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 15, 2024 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.990, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 69 trading days (~0.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.1476
5.44***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1859
4.63***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8042
18.80***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.2272
-0.23

Persistence:

0.990

Half-life:

69 days