V-Lab
Digital Brands Grp Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, October 2nd, 2026
1 Day
47,843.37
increased by 1,467.01
1 Week
45,777.94
decreased by 598.42
1 Month
53,658.61
increased by 7,282.25
Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 10:44 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 14, 2021 to Sep 25, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 560 trading days (~2.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
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High persistence: persistence 0.999, shock half-life ~560 days
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 1.2824 | 3.39*** |
| αARCH | 0.3507 | 15.96*** |
| βGARCH | 0.6480 | 29.37*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.2239 | -2.85*** |
0.999
Persistence560d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.2824 | 3.39*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.3507 | 15.96*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6480 | 29.37*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.2239 | -2.85*** |
Persistence:
0.999
Half-life:
560 days
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