V-Lab
Digital Brands Grp Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, September 16th, 2026
1 Day
49,031.26
increased by 16,972.44
1 Week
43,397.03
increased by 11,338.21
1 Month
72,485.77
increased by 40,426.95
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 16, 2026 at 02:25 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 14, 2021 to Sep 11, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 4332 trading days (~17.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
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High persistence: persistence 1.000, shock half-life ~4332 days
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 1.3238 | 2.55** |
| αARCH | 0.3470 | 14.85*** |
| βGARCH | 0.6529 | 27.93*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.3900 | -5.30*** |
1.000
Persistence4332d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.3238 | 2.55** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.3470 | 14.85*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6529 | 27.93*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.3900 | -5.30*** |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
4332 days
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