V-Lab
Digital Brands Grp Inc ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, October 5th, 2026
1 Day
55,930.19
1 Week
50,742.28
1 Month
52,249.63
Analysis last updated: Friday, October 2, 2026 at 10:28 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 14, 2021 to Oct 2, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.994, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 118 trading days (~0.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
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| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| αARCH | 0.3798 | 13.06*** |
| βGARCH | 0.6598 | 38.44*** |
| γleverage | -0.0910 | -2.49** |
| λ₁tau intercept | 361,604.9714 |
0.994
Persistence118d
Half-lifeILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.3798 | 13.06*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6598 | 38.44*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0910 | -2.49** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 361,604.9714 |
Persistence:
0.994
Half-life:
118 days
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