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V-Lab

Consolidated Water Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, August 21st, 2026

1 Day

5,178.29

decreased by 164.16

1 Week

5,321.46

decreased by 20.99

1 Month

4,398.94

decreased by 943.51

Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 20, 2026 at 09:21 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Consolidated Water Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 31, 1995 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 48 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0052
2.85***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0996
7.25***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8860
49.35***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=7
γ1-0.4360
-5.28***
γ20.6156
4.95***
γ3-0.1542
-2.09**
γ4-0.0643
-1.35
γ50.0798
2.05**
γ6-0.1065
-2.93***
γ70.1202
2.34**

Persistence:

0.986

Half-life:

48 days