V-Lab
Consolidated Water Co Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, August 21st, 2026
1 Day
5,143.56
1 Week
5,432.02
1 Month
4,589.21
Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 20, 2026 at 09:21 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 31, 1995 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 6 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 6 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 41 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1402 | 1.57 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8199 | 41.91*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1402 | -0.76 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 3.0225 | 3.38*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0510 | 3.18*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9485 | 65.05*** |
Persistence:
0.890
Half-life:
6 days
Other Consolidated Water Co Ltd Analyses
Other ILLIQ-MFMEM Analyses on Equities