Clarity Pharmaceuticals Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Friday, July 10th, 2026
1 Day
4,201.92
increased by 458.35
1 Week
6,213.00
increased by 2,469.43
1 Month
5,442.27
increased by 1,698.70
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 10, 2026 at 06:16 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 25, 2021 to Jul 3, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 3 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.6609 | 1.97** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.5564 | 1.58 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.2248 | 1.54 |
Spline Coefficients
K=4
| γ1 | -1.4957 | -2.46** |
| γ2 | -0.1459 | -0.16 |
| γ3 | 3.9779 | 5.79*** |
| γ4 | -3.3625 | -5.01*** |
Persistence:
0.781
Half-life:
3 days
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