V-Lab
Clarity Pharmaceuticals Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, September 23rd, 2026
1 Day
5,995.14
1 Week
6,629.40
1 Month
7,250.57
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 23, 2026 at 05:54 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 25, 2021 to Sep 18, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 13 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 13 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
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| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| mwindow | 126 | |
| αARCH | 0.1305 | 4.67*** |
| βGARCH | 0.8831 | 54.53*** |
| γleverage | -0.1305 | -3.26*** |
| λ₁tau intercept | 0.0885 | 0.12 |
| λ₂forecast adj. | 0.0051 | 1.46 |
| λ₃tau persistence | 0.9771 | 123.38*** |
0.948
Persistence13d
Half-lifeILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1305 | 4.67*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8831 | 54.53*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1305 | -3.26*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0885 | 0.12 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0051 | 1.46 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9771 | 123.38*** |
Persistence:
0.948
Half-life:
13 days
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