V-Lab
Cryogenic OGS Limited Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 11th, 2026
1 Day
3,816.66
increased by 1,445.87
1 Week
3,237.93
increased by 867.14
1 Month
4,212.57
increased by 1,841.78
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 07:06 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 10, 2025 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 1 trading day.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.9606 | 5.17*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.3516 | 2.52** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.1924 | 1.25 |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -4.0231 | -3.83*** |
Persistence:
0.544
Half-life:
1 days
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