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V-Lab

Cryogenic OGS Limited Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 11th, 2026

1 Day

3,816.66

increased by 1,445.87

1 Week

3,237.93

increased by 867.14

1 Month

4,212.57

increased by 1,841.78

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 07:06 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Cryogenic OGS Limited ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 10, 2025 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 1 trading day.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.9606
5.17***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.3516
2.52**
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.1924
1.25
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-4.0231
-3.83***

Persistence:

0.544

Half-life:

1 days