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Cryogenic OGS Limited Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 11th, 2026

1 Day

4,161.23

increased by 127.97

1 Week

4,421.91

increased by 388.65

1 Month

5,072.25

increased by 1,038.99

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 07:06 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Cryogenic OGS Limited ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 10, 2025 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1386294 trading days (~5501.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
0.28
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1326
4.82***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8487
57.21***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0374
1.00

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

1386294 days