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V-Lab

Cerence Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, July 30th, 2026

1 Day

5,697.87

decreased by 132.02

1 Week

6,023.43

increased by 193.54

1 Month

5,071.94

decreased by 757.95

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 29, 2026 at 09:19 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Cerence Inc ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 2, 2019 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.992, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 91 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0019
4.83***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1398
10.54***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8526
65.05***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0051
-0.13

Persistence:

0.992

Half-life:

91 days