V-Lab
Cerence Inc Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, July 30th, 2026
1 Day
6,335.70
decreased by 33.96
1 Week
6,433.15
increased by 63.49
1 Month
5,154.45
decreased by 1,215.21
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 29, 2026 at 09:19 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 2, 2019 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 543 trading days (~2.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 87% more after negative returns
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 3.85*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0847 | 18.14*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8772 | 329.88*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0737 | 9.33*** |
Persistence:
0.999
Half-life:
543 days
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