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Cahya Mata Sarawak BHD Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, August 28th, 2026

1 Day

5,408.09

decreased by 337.63

1 Week

5,809.82

increased by 64.10

1 Month

6,712.03

increased by 966.31

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 28, 2026 at 08:10 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Cahya Mata Sarawak BHD ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 24, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 2829 trading days (~11.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.8879
5.48***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1522
5.96***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8476
33.83***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=5
γ1-1.3204
-2.29**
γ22.8122
2.48**
γ3-1.9386
-2.49**
γ40.2563
0.97
γ50.2907
2.09**

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

2829 days