V-Lab
Cahya Mata Sarawak BHD Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, August 28th, 2026
1 Day
5,408.09
decreased by 337.63
1 Week
5,809.82
increased by 64.10
1 Month
6,712.03
increased by 966.31
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 28, 2026 at 08:10 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 24, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 2829 trading days (~11.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.8879 | 5.48*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1522 | 5.96*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8476 | 33.83*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=5
| γ1 | -1.3204 | -2.29** |
| γ2 | 2.8122 | 2.48** |
| γ3 | -1.9386 | -2.49** |
| γ4 | 0.2563 | 0.97 |
| γ5 | 0.2907 | 2.09** |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
2829 days
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