V-Lab
Cahya Mata Sarawak BHD ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, August 28th, 2026
1 Day
5,703.28
1 Week
6,120.30
1 Month
7,156.26
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 28, 2026 at 08:10 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 24, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 11 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 11 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1528 | 6.21*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8650 | 199.32*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1528 | -2.41** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.9248 | 8.90*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.02 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9979 | 1,649.38*** |
Persistence:
0.941
Half-life:
11 days
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