V-Lab
Chavda Infra Limited Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, September 1st, 2026
1 Day
5,406.14
increased by 3,445.90
1 Week
2,593.69
increased by 633.45
1 Month
2,047.14
increased by 86.90
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 1, 2026 at 07:19 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 22, 2023 to Aug 28, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1242 trading days (~4.9 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.0314 | 5.80*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1857 | 7.81*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8137 | 33.80*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.8107 | -1.45 |
Persistence:
0.999
Half-life:
1242 days
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