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Chavda Infra Limited Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, September 1st, 2026

1 Day

5,406.14

increased by 3,445.90

1 Week

2,593.69

increased by 633.45

1 Month

2,047.14

increased by 86.90

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 1, 2026 at 07:19 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Chavda Infra Limited ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 22, 2023 to Aug 28, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1242 trading days (~4.9 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0314
5.80***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1857
7.81***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8137
33.80***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.8107
-1.45

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

1242 days