V-Lab
Chams Holding Company PLC Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, July 31st, 2026
1 Day
939.13
increased by 484.36
1 Week
588.77
increased by 134.00
1 Month
523.61
increased by 68.84
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 31, 2026 at 08:08 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 24, 2008 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 2806 trading days (~11.1 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.5999 | 0.44 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.8260 | 7.47*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.1737 | 1.42 |
Spline Coefficients
K=9
| γ1 | -76.5417 | -0.26 |
| γ2 | 240.5772 | 0.62 |
| γ3 | -262.2726 | -2.78*** |
| γ4 | 111.0749 | 26.95*** |
| γ5 | -16.1458 | -5.76*** |
| γ6 | 5.1847 | 2.11** |
| γ7 | -3.6093 | -0.62 |
| γ8 | 2.7737 | 0.30 |
| γ9 | -1.7887 | -0.12 |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
2806 days
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