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Chams Holding Company PLC Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, July 31st, 2026

1 Day

939.13

increased by 484.36

1 Week

588.77

increased by 134.00

1 Month

523.61

increased by 68.84

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 31, 2026 at 08:08 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Chams Holding Company PLC ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 24, 2008 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 2806 trading days (~11.1 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.5999
0.44
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.8260
7.47***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.1737
1.42
γi Spline Coefficients
K=9
γ1-76.5417
-0.26
γ2240.5772
0.62
γ3-262.2726
-2.78***
γ4111.0749
26.95***
γ5-16.1458
-5.76***
γ65.1847
2.11**
γ7-3.6093
-0.62
γ82.7737
0.30
γ9-1.7887
-0.12

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

2806 days