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Chams Holding Company PLC Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, October 21st, 2026

1 Day

52.21

decreased by 5.99

1 Week

422.99

increased by 364.79

1 Month

450.45

increased by 392.25

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, October 21, 2026 at 08:10 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/20/2024

to

10/20/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Chams Holding Company PLC ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 24, 2008 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1012 trading days (~4.0 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.999, shock half-life ~1012 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.6869
0.34
αARCH0.8299
2.98***
βGARCH0.1694
1.66*
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=9
γ1-75.4920
-0.29
γ2239.6966
0.74
γ3-265.5471
-3.46***
γ4115.4816
26.97***
γ5-16.5607
-6.00***
γ63.8657
1.70*
γ7-3.0501
-0.58
γ82.7356
0.31
γ9-2.0726
-0.16

0.999

Persistence

1012d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.6869
0.34
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.8299
2.98***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.1694
1.66*
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=9
γ1-75.4920
-0.29
γ2239.6966
0.74
γ3-265.5471
-3.46***
γ4115.4816
26.97***
γ5-16.5607
-6.00***
γ63.8657
1.70*
γ7-3.0501
-0.58
γ82.7356
0.31
γ9-2.0726
-0.16

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

1012 days