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Chams Holding Company PLC Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, July 31st, 2026

1 Day

550.97

increased by 39.97

1 Week

512.37

increased by 1.37

1 Month

514.98

increased by 3.98

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 31, 2026 at 08:08 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Chams Holding Company PLC ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 24, 2008 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): illiquidity shocks do not decay and the long-run level is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.

Asymmetry: illiquidity responds almost entirely to negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
1.21
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0035
0.54
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9727
185.99***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0476
2.52**

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

-