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V-Lab

CFAO Motors Cote D Ivoire Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026

1 Day

8,064.06

increased by 3,619.78

1 Week

4,444.93

increased by 0.65

1 Month

4,330.20

decreased by 114.08

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 15, 2026 at 10:49 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of CFAO Motors Cote D Ivoire ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 5, 2010 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 1 trading day.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.2245
3.46***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1891
3.62***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.3342
2.88***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=9
γ1-0.5189
-1.01
γ20.3375
0.46
γ30.9533
1.94*
γ4-0.6480
-1.17
γ5-2.4429
-3.48***
γ64.4355
6.59***
γ7-2.5013
-5.14***
γ8-0.8466
-1.33
γ92.2949
1.79*

Persistence:

0.523

Half-life:

1 days