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V-Lab

Cebu Air Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, September 1st, 2026

1 Day

17,319.02

increased by 10,523.74

1 Week

7,347.14

increased by 551.86

1 Month

3,845.00

decreased by 2,950.28

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 30, 2026 at 02:08 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Cebu Air Inc ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 26, 2010 to Aug 28, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 9 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.6487
4.39***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2839
4.77***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6390
12.40***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=8
γ10.3260
0.93
γ2-0.9713
-1.59
γ31.1269
2.67***
γ4-0.3903
-1.67*
γ5-0.5246
-2.78***
γ60.8950
4.48***
γ7-0.9250
-4.91***
γ81.0635
3.92***

Persistence:

0.923

Half-life:

9 days