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Cebu Air Inc Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, September 1st, 2026

1 Day

10,188.00

increased by 8,131.20

1 Week

3,474.14

increased by 1,417.34

1 Month

1,553.34

decreased by 503.46

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 30, 2026 at 02:07 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Cebu Air Inc ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 26, 2010 to Aug 28, 2026

Model Insight

Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): illiquidity shocks do not decay and the long-run level is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
1.33
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0888
2.77***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8578
34.29***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1069
1.04

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

-