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V-Lab

Capital Bancorp, Inc. Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, September 21st, 2026

1 Day

4,776.85

decreased by 368.38

1 Week

5,230.12

increased by 84.89

1 Month

5,267.63

increased by 122.40

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 18, 2026 at 09:42 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Capital Bancorp, Inc. ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 26, 2018 to Sep 18, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 33 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst2.5728
4.40***
αARCH0.1109
7.22***
βGARCH0.8686
42.99***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0078
0.38

0.980

Persistence

33d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.5728
4.40***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1109
7.22***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8686
42.99***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0078
0.38

Persistence:

0.980

Half-life:

33 days