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V-Lab

Capital Bancorp, Inc. Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026

1 Day

5,031.53

decreased by 493.05

1 Week

5,594.81

increased by 70.23

1 Month

5,949.06

increased by 424.48

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 09:10 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Capital Bancorp, Inc. ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 26, 2018 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 33 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.5919
4.42***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1124
7.18***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8669
41.81***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0091
0.44

Persistence:

0.979

Half-life:

33 days