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V-Lab

Capital Bancorp, Inc. ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, September 21st, 2026

1 Day

4,680.78

decreased by 304.21

1 Week

5,054.60

increased by 69.61

1 Month

5,041.03

increased by 56.04

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 18, 2026 at 09:42 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Capital Bancorp, Inc. ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 26, 2018 to Sep 18, 2026

Model Insight

Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 37 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 37 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 37-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow61
αARCH0.0878
9.21***
βGARCH0.9055
90.58***
γleverage-0.0233
-1.06
λ₁tau intercept0.0000
0.00
λ₂forecast adj.0.0000
0.00
λ₃tau persistence0.9984
85.83***

0.982

Persistence

37d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

61
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0878
9.21***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9055
90.58***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0233
-1.06
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0000
0.00
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.00
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9984
85.83***

Persistence:

0.982

Half-life:

37 days