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Capital Bancorp, Inc. ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026

1 Day

5,278.53

decreased by 416.08

1 Week

5,752.54

increased by 57.93

1 Month

5,989.67

increased by 295.06

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 09:10 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Capital Bancorp, Inc. ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 26, 2018 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 14 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 14 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

126
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0913
8.87***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9044
313.92***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0913
-7.14***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

7.2007
40.68***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.01
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9957
697.27***

Persistence:

0.950

Half-life:

14 days