V-Lab
Commercial Bancgroup Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
3,742.37
decreased by 296.24
1 Week
3,946.41
decreased by 92.20
1 Month
4,335.04
increased by 296.43
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 09:38 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 2, 2025 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 2.2424 | 9.10*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0571 | 0.92 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -2.1491 | -2.23** |
Persistence:
0.057
Half-life:
0 days
Other Commercial Bancgroup Inc Analyses
Other Spline ILLIQ Analyses on Equities