Skip to main content
V-Lab

Commercial Bancgroup Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026

1 Day

3,742.37

decreased by 296.24

1 Week

3,946.41

decreased by 92.20

1 Month

4,335.04

increased by 296.43

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 09:38 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Commercial Bancgroup Inc ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 2, 2025 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.2424
9.10***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0571
0.92
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0000
0.00
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-2.1491
-2.23**

Persistence:

0.057

Half-life:

0 days