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Commercial Bancgroup Inc ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026

1 Day

2,302.47

decreased by 85.85

1 Week

2,280.86

decreased by 107.46

1 Month

2,111.16

decreased by 277.16

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 09:37 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Commercial Bancgroup Inc ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 2, 2025 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 7 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 7 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

26
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0081
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8161
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1519
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0097
276.89***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.2447
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.4973

Persistence:

0.900

Half-life:

7 days