V-Lab
Bleichroeder Acquisition Corp II ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026
1 Day
221.17
1 Week
181.72
1 Month
510.64
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 09:33 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 8, 2026 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows asymmetric liquidity dynamics: illiquidity responds almost entirely to negative returns. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 26 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0925 | 1.81* |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0000 | 0.05 |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.5000 | 4.21*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0115 | 0.59 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.8816 | 78.86*** |
Persistence:
0.342
Half-life:
1 days
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