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V-Lab

Bleichroeder Acquisition Corp II ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026

1 Day

221.17

increased by 54.78

1 Week

181.72

increased by 15.33

1 Month

510.64

increased by 344.25

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 09:33 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Bleichroeder Acquisition Corp II ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 8, 2026 to Aug 14, 2026
Boundary Parameters

Model Insight

This asset shows asymmetric liquidity dynamics: illiquidity responds almost entirely to negative returns. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

26
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0925
1.81*
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0000
0.05
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.5000
4.21***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0000
0.00
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0115
0.59
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.8816
78.86***

Persistence:

0.342

Half-life:

1 days