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Carisma Therapeutics Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, July 24th, 2026

1 Day

81,566,880,000.00

decreased by 85,900,000.00

1 Week

75,983,456,000.00

decreased by 5,669,324,000.00

1 Month

52,517,071,052.63

decreased by 29,135,708,947.37

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 09:11 AM UTC

Date Range:

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to

6M ·

1Y ·

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10Y ·

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graph of Carisma Therapeutics Inc ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 6, 2014 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 173286 trading days (~687.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.3589
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2921
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7079
γi Spline Coefficients
K=2
γ1-0.4154
γ21.9742

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

173286 days