Skip to main content
V-Lab

Carisma Therapeutics Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 12th, 2026

1 Day

26,650,180,000.00

decreased by 2,728,760,000.00

1 Week

31,322,768,000.00

increased by 1,943,828,000.00

1 Month

24,646,787,450.00

decreased by 4,732,152,550.00

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 12, 2026 at 08:30 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Carisma Therapeutics Inc ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 6, 2014 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 693147 trading days (~2750.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0228
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2755
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7245
γi Spline Coefficients
K=4
γ1-0.2264
γ20.6573
γ3-1.2242
γ43.7012

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

693147 days