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Carisma Therapeutics Inc Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, July 24th, 2026

1 Day

1,820,527,000.00

decreased by 312,668,000.00

1 Week

2,638,427,800.00

increased by 505,232,800.00

1 Month

4,586,411,631.58

increased by 2,453,216,631.58

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 09:11 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Carisma Therapeutics Inc ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 6, 2014 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): illiquidity shocks do not decay and the long-run level is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 256% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
0.09
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1148
11.96***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7385
18.69***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.2934
2.38**

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

-