V-Lab
Buda Juice Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, September 10th, 2026
1 Day
1,004,685.00
decreased by 56,030.00
1 Week
1,079,813.50
increased by 19,098.50
1 Month
873,119.90
decreased by 187,595.10
Analysis last updated: Thursday, September 10, 2026 at 02:26 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 8, 2026 to Sep 4, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 4 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 1.2090 | 4.54*** |
| αARCH | 0.1042 | 1.59 |
| βGARCH | 0.7513 | 3.50*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 0.9210 | 0.22 |
0.856
Persistence4d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.2090 | 4.54*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1042 | 1.59 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7513 | 3.50*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 0.9210 | 0.22 |
Persistence:
0.856
Half-life:
4 days
Other Buda Juice Inc Analyses
Other Spline ILLIQ Analyses on Equities