V-Lab
Buda Juice Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026
1 Day
452,897.60
decreased by 34,024.50
1 Week
498,397.96
increased by 11,475.86
1 Month
432,924.60
decreased by 53,997.50
Analysis last updated: Monday, August 24, 2026 at 09:52 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 8, 2026 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 3 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.1989 | 4.59*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0844 | 1.16 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7307 | 2.37** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -4.2300 | -1.18 |
Persistence:
0.815
Half-life:
3 days
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