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Buda Juice Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, September 22nd, 2026

1 Day

1,006,191.00

decreased by 44,777.00

1 Week

1,136,317.00

increased by 85,349.00

1 Month

1,047,433.63

decreased by 3,534.37

Analysis last updated: Monday, September 21, 2026 at 09:54 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Buda Juice Inc ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 8, 2026 to Sep 18, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 5 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.1700
4.84***
αARCH0.0888
1.47
βGARCH0.7699
3.81***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ11.2397
0.37

0.859

Persistence

5d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.1700
4.84***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0888
1.47
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7699
3.81***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ11.2397
0.37

Persistence:

0.859

Half-life:

5 days