V-Lab
Buda Juice Inc Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026
1 Day
459,910.40
decreased by 14,449.90
1 Week
458,840.06
decreased by 15,520.24
1 Month
382,599.72
decreased by 91,760.58
Analysis last updated: Monday, August 24, 2026 at 09:52 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 8, 2026 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1386294 trading days (~5501.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 0.00 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0523 | 2.79*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9378 | 83.81*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0196 | 0.48 |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
1386294 days
Other Buda Juice Inc Analyses
Other Asymmetric ILLIQ Analyses on Equities